Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.005491 0.005800 0.006120 0.006478 0.006865 0.007275 0.007741
2026-02-01 0.005059 0.005520 0.006021 0.006609 0.007283 0.008035 0.008947
2026-02-08 0.004707 0.005246 0.005849 0.006580 0.007451 0.008465 0.009748
2026-02-15 0.004455 0.005047 0.005728 0.006575 0.007616 0.008869 0.010521
2026-02-22 0.004203 0.004825 0.005554 0.006481 0.007650 0.009097 0.011070
2026-03-01 0.003994 0.004637 0.005403 0.006397 0.007678 0.009306 0.011594
2026-03-08 0.003850 0.004517 0.005324 0.006392 0.007797 0.009630 0.012285
2026-03-15 0.003635 0.004297 0.005108 0.006195 0.007650 0.009584 0.012452
2026-03-22 0.003537 0.004219 0.005065 0.006218 0.007790 0.009928 0.013191
2026-03-29 0.003470 0.004175 0.005063 0.006291 0.007998 0.010375 0.014114
2026-04-05 0.003354 0.004064 0.004966 0.006230 0.008014 0.010546 0.014626
2026-04-12 0.003269 0.003988 0.004911 0.006222 0.008102 0.010822 0.015320
2026-04-19 0.003170 0.003891 0.004826 0.006170 0.008126 0.011007 0.015889
2026-04-26 0.003141 0.003887 0.004866 0.006293 0.008410 0.011606 0.017198
2026-05-03 0.003062 0.003811 0.004803 0.006266 0.008468 0.011854 0.017929
2026-05-10 0.002995 0.003749 0.004758 0.006261 0.008558 0.012154 0.018778
2026-05-17 0.002905 0.003652 0.004659 0.006174 0.008513 0.012231 0.019225
2026-05-24 0.002822 0.003564 0.004570 0.006095 0.008477 0.012320 0.019698
2026-05-31 0.002768 0.003513 0.004531 0.006090 0.008557 0.012605 0.020575
2026-06-07 0.002660 0.003385 0.004378 0.005907 0.008342 0.012371 0.020403
2026-06-14 0.002621 0.003351 0.004360 0.005928 0.008458 0.012719 0.021437
2026-06-21 0.002597 0.003339 0.004372 0.005996 0.008654 0.013220 0.022844
2026-06-28 0.002538 0.003274 0.004306 0.005939 0.008638 0.013336 0.023441